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Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?

9% Yes 92% No
Technology · $5.1k Vol · 200d left
LIVE
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

41% Yes 60% No
Technology · $50.8k Vol · 200d left
LIVE
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

0% Yes 100% No
Technology · $1m Vol · 16d left
LIVE
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

4% Yes 96% No
Technology · $70k Vol · 16d left
LIVE
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

12% Yes 88% No
Technology · $5k Vol · 16d left
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Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day?

Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day?

5% Yes 95% No
Technology · $5.1k Vol · 565d left
LIVE
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?

0% Yes 100% No
Technology · $593.9k Vol · 565d left
LIVE
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

0% Yes 100% No
Technology · $608.4k Vol · 565d left
LIVE
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

82% Yes 18% No
Technology · $5.7k Vol · 200d left
LIVE
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

6% Yes 94% No
Technology · $7.6k Vol · 200d left
LIVE
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

30% Yes 70% No
Technology · $59.1k Vol · 200d left
LIVE
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

0% Yes 100% No
Technology · $820.2k Vol · 16d left
LIVE
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

100% Yes 0% No
Technology · $692.6k Vol · 200d left
LIVE
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?

Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?

18% Yes 82% No
Technology · $47k Vol · 200d left
LIVE
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe

8% Yes 92% No
Technology · $4.5k Vol · 200d left
LIVE
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

0% Yes 100% No
Technology · $7.1k Vol · 200d left
LIVE
Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?

Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?

6% Yes 94% No
Technology · $4.6k Vol · 565d left
LIVE
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

6% Yes 94% No
Technology · $4.6k Vol · 200d left
LIVE
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

0% Yes 100% No
Technology · $6.5k Vol · 200d left
LIVE
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?

Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?

58% Yes 42% No
Technology · $44.7k Vol · 200d left
LIVE
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?

Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?

6% Yes 94% No
Technology · $4.5k Vol · 565d left
LIVE
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?

Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?

8% Yes 92% No
Technology · $43.9k Vol · 200d left
LIVE
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?

0% Yes 100% No
Technology · $530.6k Vol · 565d left
LIVE
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?

Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?

5% Yes 95% No
Technology · $4.3k Vol · 565d left